Methodology
ElementWatch methodology
ElementWatch isn't a chart library — it's a decision-grade ranking. Every signal carries a strength (Watch / Medium / High / Critical), a confidence band, an operator action, and a watch-next set. Here's how those are built.
What we track
- Signal strength — weighted from 7-day move magnitude + supply tightness + policy events
- Confidence — High / Medium / Low based on source reliability and freshness
- Operator action — AI-generated on top of structured context (Pro tier)
- Watch-next — 3–5 monitoring items the operator should track this week
- Tracking mode — "price" for benchmarks with spot data; "signal" for policy / allocation-driven materials
- 4-phase refresh — Phase 2 writes live prices immediately so AI-timeout never wipes the price layer
Who this is for
Anyone evaluating ElementWatch for governance, audit, or internal decision-grade use.
Decisions ElementWatch supports
- Validating that an ElementWatch signal is fit for your decision
- Mapping our schema to your internal risk register
- Building reproducible procurement-risk reporting