ElementWatch

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Fertilizer Inputs · USDA · industry

Urea price & supply intelligence

Urea sits at the intersection of natural gas, freight, and US planting cycles. ElementWatch tracks the cost-of-feedstock + export-flow signals that drive ag input pricing.

What we track

  • Urea granular spot ($/MT FOB key hubs)
  • US Henry Hub natural gas (feedstock)
  • Russian + Middle East export licensing and flows
  • US planted acreage and DEF / industrial demand
  • Ammonia-to-urea conversion economics

Who this is for

Ag retailers, co-ops, large grower procurement, industrial nitrogen buyers, and DEF (diesel exhaust fluid) supply chains.

Decisions ElementWatch supports

  • Pre-season pre-buy timing on urea volumes
  • Hedge sizing on natural-gas feedstock risk
  • Spot-vs-contract decisions inside the planting window

Primary sources